Thursday, October 30, 2014

I'll concede that the outlook...

...for the Democrats' holding the Senate next Tuesday looks bleak. But according to Nate Silver, the Republicans are going to have to sweat a little (my emphasis):

Our model estimates that while Republicans have a 64 percent chance of winning the Senate eventually, there’s only a 27 percent chance they’ll be able to claim their victory within the first 24 hours or so after polls close on Nov 4. Democrats are even less likely to win a quick victory — they have just a 12 percent chance.

The other 60 percent of the time, it will take days or weeks to sort everything out.

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