Monday, March 30, 2015
It's been a week since...
Well, Bloomberg has a piece this morning, "Poll: Jeb Bush Still Tops List of GOP Candidates, But Ted Cruz Is Rising Fast," which says (my emphasis):
Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush continues to lead the pack of Republican presidential hopefuls, but one candidate is making moves.
Texas Senator Ted Cruz, the only GOP hopeful to formally announced his candidacy thus far, has shot up in the rankings in a new CBS News poll. Thirty-seven percent of those surveyed said that they would consider voting for Cruz in March, up 14 points from when the same question was asked a month ago.
Wow. And if you asked me, I'd say Cruz could end up as the lone conservative alternative to Jeb. If he runs to the right of everybody on every issue, as I think Cruz will do, then he'll have to win the non-Jeb "bracket" of the GOP primary, right?
But before anyone puts champagne on ice, here's a little cold reality: PredictWise still has Cruz with only a 2.1 percent chance of winning the nomination and Paddy Power still has him at 12/1 odds. That's where he was last week.
Until further notice, Hillary still beats Jeb.