Wisconsin primary yesterday by 13 points. And in the all-important race for delegates, Ted Cruz positively crushed the Donald, 33 to 3 (with six still up for grabs).
So what the heck is going on here?
Well, let's consult the betting markets. And according to Paddy Power, Trump and Clinton are still favored to win this thing:
Trump, 53 percent
How about PredictIt?
Trump, 43 cents
I could keep going, but "arbitrage" should provide you with essentially the same results no matter how many sites you consult.
A contested Republican convention is also probable, though, and Nate Silver has a must-read piece for political junkies, "It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention," which makes a Trump nomination seem unlikely.
But the bottom line, even after last night's shellacking, is that it's still Trump's and Clinton's nominations to lose.
Oh, and Hillary wins in the fall.
P. S. Need a laugh? Read this.