Intrade is pretty much a three-way tie, with Archbishop Angelo Scola of Italy coming up fast along the rail. Cardinal Peter Turkson of Ghana is still in the lead, albeit slightly, and Cardinal Gianfranco Ravasi of Italy is in third.
On Paddy Power, Scola has taken the lead, followed by Turkson in second and Cardinal Marc Ouellet of Canada in third (and fading fast).
Finally, Ladbrokes still has Turkson in first, but Scola is rising fast. Ouellet and Cardinal Tarcisio Bertone of Italy are tied for third place.
Remember, if Scola ends up winning, Chris Matthews called it.