Tuesday, November 6, 2012

President Obama is expected...

...to win reelection today, albeit by a small margin in the popular vote. In the battle for the Electoral College, however, the president is currently favored in seven of the nine swing states on Intrade: Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, Wisconsin and -- most importantly -- Ohio. Governor Romney is only leading in Florida and North Carolina.

Tonight, the battleground states on the East Coast (Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and New Hampshire) will close their polls first. If the president is declared the winner in Virginia it would make it very difficult for Romney to prevail. Ohio, reporting a little later, should seal the deal.

Until then, I'll be on needles and pins-a.

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