Thursday, March 10, 2016

It's only March, but...'s one good sign for the Democratic presidential candidate in the fall (whoever that is): according to the most recent Gallup poll, 50 percent approve of President Obama’s performance, the highest in three years.

If this election is similar to 1988, and I think it will be, that's a good omen. Again, from Gallup:

In March 1988, 51% of U.S. adults approved of Ronald Reagan's job performance, almost identical to Obama's current rating. 

As I wrote almost exactly a year ago:

But I don't think any of that will prevent Mrs. Clinton from winning in 2016. Even if Jeb Bush isn't the nominee (and all signs point to his being the GOP standard-bearer), Hillary will win because it will be -- once again -- a referendum on President Obama. And, as much as Republicans can't believe it, the nation will choose him over any of the GOP's candidates. Why? Because they've done it twice before and the economy may be even better next time than last.

Just as George H. W. Bush was elected as a proxy for Reagan's "third" term, so will Hillary be elected to serve Obama's "third" term. (Just keep those good jobs numbers coming in.)

No comments: