Monday, March 15, 2010

As the health care debate winds down...

...this weekend (probably), I have some predictions and one last thought (yeah, right).

My first prediction is that the measure will pass. If not, why would Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and President Obama go to all this trouble?

Second, I predict the whole topic will be quickly forgotten afterward and won't be an issue at all in the midterms. The Republicans won't bring up health care or its repeal for fear they'll have to defend their "no" votes and their obstructionism.

Third, if health care reform is an issue, it could deny Mitt Romney the GOP nomination in 2012. Obamacare is just too similar to Romneycare. (Although I don't see him winning anyway.)

Last, why do the Republicans keep talking about the "2700 page bill?" Is that too long or too short? What exactly do they think is the optimal length of a health care reform bill? 2400 pages? 2300 pages? The Republican bill was much shorter than the Democrats', but it only covered an additional 3 million people instead of 30 million. Maybe covering that many people would be complicated. Maybe content is more important than length.

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