Trump has taken the lead!

On Paddy Power, at least. But with less than three weeks to go before the Iowa Caucuses, the Donald is the odds-on favorite on the Irish betting website:

Donald Trump 7/4
Marco Rubio 2/1
Ted Cruz 11/4

That's a first.

Trump has also retaken the lead in Iowa (slightly) on the Huffington Post aggregate poll, while still trailing Cruz on Paddy Power. In New Hampshire, the New York real estate mogul has a double-digit lead on the HuffPost poll and is in first place on Paddy Power.

Big question (big, big, big): Can Trump turn these poll numbers into actual votes?