Paul Ryan just surged past...

...Tim Pawlenty in the veepstakes on Intrade. The Wisconsin Congressman is now in second place, behind Rob Portman of Ohio. Could the buzz about Ryan be true?

If Mitt Romney chooses Portman, the safer choice, it could mean he's fairly confident about November. If he picks Ryan, on the other hand, it may be seen as more of a Hail Mary pass. (Sound familiar?)

We could find out as early as today.