For those of you who don't follow politics...

...as closely as I do, i. e., you have a life, here are the three most likely midterm election scenarios, in order of probability:

(1) The Republicans take back the House and gain seats but fall short in the Senate;

(2) The Republicans take back the House and the Senate; or

(3) The Republicans gain seats in both chambers but the Democrats retain control of both.

While the first is the most likely, according to all the experts I read, it hasn't happened in a long time. In other words, when the House "flips" so does the Senate. So if this proves to be a true "wave" election, expect both houses to go.

And what about scenario (4), where the Democrats gain seats in one or both houses? Fuhgeddaboudit! Almost never happens in the midterms.